4. the emma watson question: emma grew up in england but has spent most of her professional life in the…
4. the emma watson question: emma grew up in england but has spent most of her professional life in the united states. because she is an amazing actress, she has perfected both an english and an american accent. she wonders which accent people prefer. in harry potter 8: the seductresss secret, she used an american accent. in harry potter 9: the revenge of ron, she used a british accent. harry potter 8 grossed $1.2 billion dollars worldwide. harry potter 9 grossed $1.21 billion dollars worldwide. emma concludes people prefer her british accent. why would the term “statistical insignificance” apply to her faulty thinking?
Answer
Brief Explanations:
Emma assumes a causal relationship (accent preference) based on a small difference in box - office gross ($1.2 billion vs $1.21 billion). This small difference could be due to random variation (e.g., other factors like marketing, release timing for the two movies) rather than a real preference for the accent. Statistical insignificance means that the observed difference (in this case, the box - office difference) is not large enough to conclude that there is a real underlying effect (accent preference) and is likely just due to chance.
Answer:
The small difference in box - office gross ($0.01 billion) is likely due to random factors rather than a true preference for the British accent, which is what statistical insignificance implies - the difference is not large enough to be considered a real, non - random effect.