question: the number of newly reported crime cases in a county in new york state is shown in the…

question: the number of newly reported crime cases in a county in new york state is shown in the accompanying table, where x represents the number of years since 2011, and y represents the number of new cases. write the linear regression equation that represents this set of data, rounding all coefficients to the nearest hundredth. using this equation, estimate the calendar year in which the number of new cases would reach 1230.\nyears since 2011 (x) | new cases (y)\n0 | 911\n1 | 907\n2 | 915\n3 | 981\nopen statistics calculator\ncopy values for calculator\nwatch video\nshow examples
Answer
Explanation:
Step1: Calculate the means of x and y
Let (x = [0,1,2,3]) and (y=[911,907,915,981]). The mean of (x), (\bar{x}=\frac{0 + 1+2 + 3}{4}=\frac{6}{4}=1.5) The mean of (y), (\bar{y}=\frac{911+907+915+981}{4}=\frac{3714}{4}=928.5)
Step2: Calculate the slope (m)
[ \begin{align*} m&=\frac{\sum_{i = 1}^{n}(x_i-\bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}{\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i-\bar{x})^2}\ (x_1-\bar{x})(y_1 - \bar{y})&=(0 - 1.5)(911-928.5)=(- 1.5)\times(-17.5)=26.25\ (x_2-\bar{x})(y_2 - \bar{y})&=(1 - 1.5)(907-928.5)=(-0.5)\times(-21.5) = 10.75\ (x_3-\bar{x})(y_3 - \bar{y})&=(2 - 1.5)(915-928.5)=0.5\times(-13.5)=-6.75\ (x_4-\bar{x})(y_4 - \bar{y})&=(3 - 1.5)(981-928.5)=1.5\times52.5 = 78.75\ \sum_{i = 1}^{4}(x_i-\bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})&=26.25+10.75-6.75 + 78.75=109\ (x_1-\bar{x})^2&=(0 - 1.5)^2=2.25\ (x_2-\bar{x})^2&=(1 - 1.5)^2=0.25\ (x_3-\bar{x})^2&=(2 - 1.5)^2=0.25\ (x_4-\bar{x})^2&=(3 - 1.5)^2=2.25\ \sum_{i=1}^{4}(x_i-\bar{x})^2&=2.25 + 0.25+0.25+2.25 = 5\ m&=\frac{109}{5}=21.8 \end{align*} ]
Step3: Calculate the y - intercept (b)
[b=\bar{y}-m\bar{x}=928.5-21.8\times1.5=928.5 - 32.7=895.8] The linear - regression equation is (y = 21.8x+895.8)
Step4: Find the value of x when y = 1230
[ \begin{align*} 1230&=21.8x+895.8\ 21.8x&=1230 - 895.8\ 21.8x&=334.2\ x&=\frac{334.2}{21.8}\approx15.33 \end{align*} ] Since (x) represents the number of years since 2011, the year is (2011 + 15.33\approx2026)
Answer:
The linear - regression equation is (y = 21.8x+895.8), and the year when the number of new cases reaches 1230 is approximately 2026.