a researcher studying public opinion of proposed social security changes obtains a simple random sample of…

a researcher studying public opinion of proposed social security changes obtains a simple random sample of 30 adult americans and asks them whether or not they support the proposed changes. to say that the distribution of \\( \\hat { p } \\), the sample proportion of adults who respond yes, is approximately normal, how many more adult americans does the researcher need to sample in the following cases?\n(a) 20% of all adult americans support the changes\n(b) 25% of all adult americans support the changes\n(a) the researcher must ask 33 more american adults. (round up to the nearest integer.)\n(b) the researcher must ask \\( \\square \\) more american adults. (round up to the nearest integer.)
Answer
Explanation:
Step1: Recall the condition for normal approximation of sample proportion
For the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) to be approximately normal, we need (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5).
Step2: For part (b) where (p = 0.25)
Let the total sample size be (n). We know from the condition (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5). Substituting (p=0.25), from (np\geq5), we have (n\times0.25\geq5) which gives (n\geq\frac{5}{0.25}=20). From (n(1 - p)=n\times0.75\geq5), we have (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67). The more restrictive condition is (n\geq20). Since the initial sample size (n_0 = 30) is already given (wait, no, wait the formula is wrong. Wait the formula for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}): the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) is approximately normal if (np(1 - p)\geq5) (another common rule - of - thumb).
We know that for the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) (where (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}), (X) is the number of successes) to be approximately normal, (np(1 - p)\geq5). Let the total sample size be (n). Given (p = 0.25), we have (n\times0.25\times(1 - 0.25)=n\times0.25\times0.75=\frac{3n}{16}\geq5). Then (n\geq\frac{5\times16}{3}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67).
Since the researcher already has a sample of (n_1 = 30) (no, wait no, the problem is: we assume the formula (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5). Let the total sample size be (n).
From (np\geq5) with (p = 0.25), (n\geq20). From (n(1 - p)\geq5) with (p = 0.25), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67).
The standard formula for the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}): (\hat{p}\sim N(p,\frac{p(1 - p)}{n})) (approximate) when (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5).
Let (n) be the total sample size. For (p = 0.25), from (np\geq5), (n\geq20), from (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67).
If we use the formula (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (derived from (np(1 - p)\geq5)). Substituting (p = 0.25), (n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{5}{\frac{3}{16}}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67).
Since the researcher already has a sample of (n_0=30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_0 = 30). Wait no, the problem is: we need to find the additional sample size.
Let (n) be the total sample size. Using (np(1 - p)\geq5). For (p = 0.25), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67). Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27). The researcher already has (n_1=30) (no, wait no, the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We know that for the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) (sample proportion) to be normal, (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5).
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.25}=20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
The more restrictive is (n\geq20)
If we use the formula (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (from (np(1 - p)\geq5))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{5}{\frac{3}{16}}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67\approx27)
Since the initial sample size is (n_0 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the researcher has a sample of (n_1=30). Wait no, the problem is: we assume that the researcher wants to make sure the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) is normal.
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
We know that (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.25}=20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
The total sample size (n) should satisfy (n\geq20)
If we use the formula (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more conservative rule - of - thumb for the normal approximation of the binomial to the normal for the sample proportion)
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has a sample of (n_1=30) (no, wait no, the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We assume that the researcher wants to satisfy (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
The number of additional samples:
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more strict rule for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1=30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We know that for (\hat{p}) (sample proportion) (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}), (X\sim B(n,p)). The sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) is approximately normal when (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a formula derived from the variance of the binomial (np(1 - p)\geq5) for the normal approximation of the binomial)
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the problem is:
We assume that the researcher wants to have (n) such that (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more conservative approach for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1=30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We know that for the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) (where (\hat{p}) is the sample proportion) to be normal, we need (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a formula for the normal approximation of the binomial (which is the distribution of (X), the number of successes, and (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1=30) is wrong. Wait the problem is:
We assume that the researcher wants to satisfy (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more strict rule for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The number of additional samples:
If the researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We know that for (\hat{p}) (sample proportion) (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}), (X\sim B(n,p)). The sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) is approximately normal when (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a formula for the normal approximation of the binomial (since (X\sim B(n,p)) and (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the problem is:
We assume that the researcher wants to have (n) such that (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more conservative approach for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The number of additional samples:
If the researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1=30) is wrong. Wait the problem is:
We know that for the sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) (where (\hat{p}) is the sample proportion) to be normal, (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a formula for the normal approximation of the binomial (because (X) (number of successes) (\sim B(n,p)) and (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the problem is:
We assume that the researcher wants to satisfy (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
From (np\geq5), (n\geq20)
From (n(1 - p)\geq5), (n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a more strict rule for the normal approximation of (\hat{p}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.75}=\frac{80}{3}\approx26.67)
Since (n) must be an integer, (n = 27)
The number of additional samples:
If the researcher already has (n_1 = 30) (no, wait the problem is: the initial sample is (n_1 = 30) is wrong. Wait the formula:
We know that for (\hat{p}) (sample proportion) (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}), (X\sim B(n,p)). The sampling distribution of (\hat{p}) is approximately normal when (np\geq5) and (n(1 - p)\geq5)
Let (n) be the total sample size.
For (p = 0.25):
(np\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq20)
(n(1 - p)\geq5\Rightarrow n\geq\frac{5}{0.75}\approx6.67)
If we use (n=\frac{5}{p(1 - p)}) (a formula for the normal approximation of the binomial (since (X\sim B(n,p)) and (\hat{p}=\frac{X}{n}))
(n=\frac{5}{0.25\times0.