4. ten green marbles are added to a bag containing an unknown number of red marbles. suppose two marbles are…

4. ten green marbles are added to a bag containing an unknown number of red marbles. suppose two marbles are removed at random. this experiment is repeated nine times. four times, two red marbles are chosen. based on this, predict how many red marbles are in the bag. (example 4)

4. ten green marbles are added to a bag containing an unknown number of red marbles. suppose two marbles are removed at random. this experiment is repeated nine times. four times, two red marbles are chosen. based on this, predict how many red marbles are in the bag. (example 4)

Answer

Explanation:

Step1: Calculate the experimental - probability of choosing 2 red marbles

The experiment is repeated 9 times, and 2 red marbles are chosen 4 times. So the experimental - probability $P$ of choosing 2 red marbles is $P=\frac{4}{9}$.

Step2: Set up the probability formula for choosing 2 red marbles

Let the number of red marbles be $x$. The total number of marbles in the bag is $x + 10$. The probability of choosing 2 red marbles on the first draw is $\frac{x}{x + 10}$, and on the second draw (without replacement) is $\frac{x-1}{x + 9}$. So the probability of choosing 2 red marbles is $P=\frac{x(x - 1)}{(x + 10)(x + 9)}$.

Step3: Equate the experimental and theoretical probabilities

We have $\frac{x(x - 1)}{(x + 10)(x + 9)}=\frac{4}{9}$. Cross - multiply: $9x(x - 1)=4(x + 10)(x + 9)$. Expand both sides: $9x^{2}-9x=4(x^{2}+9x + 10x+90)$. $9x^{2}-9x=4x^{2}+36x + 40x+360$. $9x^{2}-9x=4x^{2}+76x + 360$. Move all terms to one side: $9x^{2}-4x^{2}-9x-76x - 360 = 0$. $5x^{2}-85x - 360 = 0$. Divide through by 5: $x^{2}-17x - 72 = 0$.

Step4: Solve the quadratic equation

For a quadratic equation $ax^{2}+bx + c = 0$ (here $a = 1$, $b=-17$, $c=-72$), we use the quadratic formula $x=\frac{-b\pm\sqrt{b^{2}-4ac}}{2a}$. First, calculate the discriminant $\Delta=b^{2}-4ac=(-17)^{2}-4\times1\times(-72)=289 + 288 = 577$. $x=\frac{17\pm\sqrt{577}}{2}$. We can also factor the quadratic equation $x^{2}-17x - 72=(x - 24)(x + 3)=0$. Setting each factor equal to zero gives $x = 24$ or $x=-3$. Since the number of marbles cannot be negative, $x = 24$.

Answer:

24